Sleep Number Valuation

SNBR Stock  USD 11.71  0.22  1.91%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Sleep Number Corp has a current Real Value of $9.24 per share. The regular price of the company is $11.71. Our model measures the value of Sleep Number Corp from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.22 B, return on asset of 0.012, and Shares Owned By Insiders of 20.11 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Sleep Number's valuation include:
Enterprise Value
1.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
53.4643
Price Sales
0.1817
Forward PE
1.7 K
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.8475
Overvalued
Today
11.71
Please note that Sleep Number's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Sleep Number Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Sleep Number's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Sleep stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Sleep Number Corp. Since Sleep Number is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Sleep Stock. However, Sleep Number's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.71 Real  9.24 Target  9.0 Hype  10.31 Naive  10.81
The intrinsic value of Sleep Number's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Sleep Number's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.24
Real Value
15.18
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Sleep Number Corp helps investors to forecast how Sleep stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Sleep Number more accurately as focusing exclusively on Sleep Number's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.94-0.94-0.94
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.3710.3116.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.8610.8116.75
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.199.009.99
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Sleep Number's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Sleep Number's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Sleep Number's closest peers.

Sleep Number Cash

1.67 Million

Sleep Number Total Value Analysis

Sleep Number Corp is at this time forecasted to have valuation of 1.22 B with market capitalization of 261.86 M, debt of 936.11 M, and cash on hands of 1.35 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Sleep Number fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.22 B
261.86 M
936.11 M
1.35 M

Sleep Number Investor Information

About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.58. Sleep Number Corp recorded a loss per share of 3.42. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 9th of June 2006. Based on the analysis of Sleep Number's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Sleep Number Corp is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.01040.0109
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income25 M26.3 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable

Sleep Number Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Sleep Number has an asset utilization ratio of 195.43 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $1.95 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Sleep Number Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Sleep Number Profitability Analysis

Considering Sleep Number's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Sleep Number Corp may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the moment. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Sleep Number's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1997-03-31
Previous Quarter
-25 M
Current Value
-39.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
17.3 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of 02/06/2026, Gross Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.68, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 655.9 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.680.66
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.01040.0109
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
For Sleep Number profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Sleep Number Corp to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Sleep Number utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Sleep Number's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Sleep Number over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Sleep Number Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Sleep Number is estimated to be -0.940825 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.945 to a high of -0.9375. Sleep Number's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -3.42. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Sleep Number Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Sleep Number is projected to generate -0.940825 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Sleep Number earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Sleep Number EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Sleep Number's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Sleep Number, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Sleep Number Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Sleep Number's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Sleep Number is estimated to be -0.940825 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.945 to a high of -0.9375. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Sleep Number Corp is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
-1.73
-0.94
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.940825
-0.94
Highest

Sleep Number Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Sleep Number's value are higher than the current market price of the Sleep Number stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Sleep Number is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Sleep Number's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
444.03%
-1.73
-0.940825
-3.42

Sleep Number Ownership Allocation

Sleep Number Corp shows a total of 22.79 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Sleep Number Corp outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Sleep Number to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Sleep Number Corp. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Sleep Number Corp as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that roughly three million seventeen thousand three hundred ninety-six invesors are currently shorting Sleep Number expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Sleep Number Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (20.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 865.25 M.

About Sleep Number Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Sleep Number's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Sleep Number Corp based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Sleep Number. We calculate exposure to Sleep Number's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Sleep Number's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.2 B655.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Operating Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Net Loss(0.01)(0.01)
Gross Profit Margin 0.66  0.68 

Sleep Number Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Sleep Number does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.981
Forward Price Earnings1666.6667

Sleep Number Current Valuation Indicators

Sleep Number's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Sleep Number's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Sleep Number, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Sleep Number's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Sleep Number's worth.

Additional Tools for Sleep Stock Analysis

When running Sleep Number's price analysis, check to measure Sleep Number's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sleep Number is operating at the current time. Most of Sleep Number's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sleep Number's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sleep Number's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sleep Number to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.